Post by Bonobo on Feb 20, 2013 9:56:59 GMT 1
British Prime Minister has a problem - Euro law requires that Britain opens borders for Bulgarian and Romanian migrants in 2014 but Brits are reluctant, or even hostile to the idea.
When controls are lifted, there will be a strong incentive for migration to the UK. Wages are much higher than in Bulgaria and Romania, and our welfare system is relatively generous to migrants. Any estimate of the likely scale of migration from these countries can only be an educated guess.
What will be the effects of this migration? For the migrants and their families, they will be mostly positive. Most will get a better job or higher welfare benefits than are available at home. The impact on the local UK population will be mixed. Many of the incomers from Bulgaria and Romania will possess the motivation and skills that have made migrants from countries like Poland attractive to UK employers. Their entry will pose a threat to more vulnerable sections of the UK labour force who will find it hard to compete. Academic research suggests that this effect will be quite small, although one cannot be sure.
www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/feb/19/cameron-bulgarian-romanian-immigration?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+theguardian%2Fcommentisfree%2Frss+%28Comment+is+free%29
Especially Roma minority is feared in Britain:
One uncertain factor is Roma migration. So far the inflow of Roma has been small but this could change. There are between 0.9 and 2.3 million Roma in Bulgaria and Romania, according to Professor Jan Zielonka, the author of Europe Unbound. If only a small fraction of them come to the UK this could pose a significant challenge. Historically, the Roma were a persecuted minority, having been enslaved for centuries and more recently murdered in large numbers. A recent survey conducted by the Soros Foundation Romania found that only 0.5-0.6% of Roma have a higher education – they are hence more likely to struggle finding work.
The picture is similar, though not quite as bad, among Roma migrants in Italy and Spain. Among male Roma aged 25-54 the proportion who are without employment is 33% in Italy and 46% in Spain. Roma migrants from Bulgaria are on average more successful than those from Romania. These patterns would presumably be replicated amongst Roma migrants to the UK.
When controls are lifted, there will be a strong incentive for migration to the UK. Wages are much higher than in Bulgaria and Romania, and our welfare system is relatively generous to migrants. Any estimate of the likely scale of migration from these countries can only be an educated guess.
What will be the effects of this migration? For the migrants and their families, they will be mostly positive. Most will get a better job or higher welfare benefits than are available at home. The impact on the local UK population will be mixed. Many of the incomers from Bulgaria and Romania will possess the motivation and skills that have made migrants from countries like Poland attractive to UK employers. Their entry will pose a threat to more vulnerable sections of the UK labour force who will find it hard to compete. Academic research suggests that this effect will be quite small, although one cannot be sure.
www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/feb/19/cameron-bulgarian-romanian-immigration?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+theguardian%2Fcommentisfree%2Frss+%28Comment+is+free%29
Especially Roma minority is feared in Britain:
One uncertain factor is Roma migration. So far the inflow of Roma has been small but this could change. There are between 0.9 and 2.3 million Roma in Bulgaria and Romania, according to Professor Jan Zielonka, the author of Europe Unbound. If only a small fraction of them come to the UK this could pose a significant challenge. Historically, the Roma were a persecuted minority, having been enslaved for centuries and more recently murdered in large numbers. A recent survey conducted by the Soros Foundation Romania found that only 0.5-0.6% of Roma have a higher education – they are hence more likely to struggle finding work.
The picture is similar, though not quite as bad, among Roma migrants in Italy and Spain. Among male Roma aged 25-54 the proportion who are without employment is 33% in Italy and 46% in Spain. Roma migrants from Bulgaria are on average more successful than those from Romania. These patterns would presumably be replicated amongst Roma migrants to the UK.